India could face pressure on the rupee, higher inflation and a widening current account deficit if the escalating Middle East conflict spikes energy prices and disrupts supplies, given its heavy dependence on crude and LNG imports from the region, according to Moody’s Ratings.
“India stands out among the large Asian economies that rely on crude and LNG from the Middle East,” the rating agency said.
The country imports about 46 per cent of its oil and natural gas requirements from the Middle East. Supplies from the region have been disrupted as the widening West Asia conflict has blocked the Strait of Hormuz, a key conduit for crude oil and LNG exports from the region.
“Costly energy imports would weaken the rupee, raise inflation, worsen the current account balance and complicate monetary policy as well as fiscal management if they lead to expanded subsidies to help offset the economic shock,” Moody’s said in a note on oil supply shock in prolonged West Asia conflict.
Strait of Hor​India could face pressure on the rupee, higher inflation and a widening current account deficit if the escalating Middle East conflict spikes energy prices and disrupts supplies, given its heavy dependence on crude and LNG imports from the region, according to Moody’s Ratings.
“India stands out among the large Asian economies that rely on crude and LNG from the Middle East,” the rating agency said.
The country imports about 46 per cent of its oil and natural gas requirements from the Middle East. Supplies from the region have been disrupted as the widening West Asia conflict has blocked the Strait of Hormuz, a key conduit for crude oil and LNG exports from the region.
“Costly energy imports would weaken the rupee, raise inflation, worsen the current account balance and complicate monetary policy as well as fiscal management if they lead to expanded subsidies to help offset the economic shock,” Moody’s said in a note on oil supply shock in prolonged West Asia conflict.
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